Coffee Exports Surge 61% in 2025
Record Coffee Exports Highlight Vietnam\’s Growing Global Influence
Vietnam has emerged as a significant player in the global coffee market, with exports reaching 1.23 million tons valued at $6.98 billion during the first nine months of this year. This represents a substantial increase compared to the same period last year, with export revenues rising by 61% due to surging global coffee prices.
The majority of these exports came from Robusta beans, which accounted for $4.9 billion in revenue. Processed coffee and Arabica beans followed, contributing to the overall growth of Vietnam’s coffee industry. The price fluctuations throughout the year have been notable, with global coffee prices hitting record highs early in the year before dropping to levels similar to those seen in the previous year between May and July. However, prices rebounded again in August and September, reflecting the volatile nature of the market.
On the international exchanges, Robusta futures for November delivery on the London exchange are currently priced at $4,200 per ton, while Arabica futures for December delivery in New York stand at $8,258. These figures highlight the strong demand for Vietnamese coffee in key markets.
Factors Driving Price Increases
The rise in global coffee prices can be attributed to several factors, including a weaker U.S. dollar and supply disruptions in major coffee-producing countries such as Brazil and Indonesia. These disruptions have been exacerbated by the El Niño weather pattern, which has affected crop yields and led to tighter supplies.
In addition, the United States recently imposed a 50% tariff on Brazilian goods, making coffee from that country more expensive in the U.S. market. This development has created a favorable environment for Vietnamese coffee to gain a larger share in one of the world’s largest coffee importers.
Vietnam\’s Strategic Position in the Market
Vietnam is also well-positioned to meet the new standards set by the European Union’s Deforestation Regulation (EUDR), which will come into effect at the end of 2026. As one of the few coffee-exporting countries ready to comply with these regulations, Vietnam is poised to benefit from increased demand in the European market, where sustainability and environmental responsibility are becoming increasingly important.
Despite these positive developments, Vietnamese coffee exporters have identified several long-term challenges that need to be addressed. These include upgrading processing capacity, improving and maintaining consistent quality, and building a strong national brand that can compete on the global stage.
Key Challenges and Future Outlook
While the current high prices and favorable trade conditions present opportunities, exporters remain cautious about the future. They believe that the U.S.’s tariffs on Brazilian goods will play a critical role in shaping the outlook for Vietnam’s coffee exports. The ability to maintain competitive pricing and meet international standards will be essential for sustaining growth in the coming years.
As Vietnam continues to navigate the complexities of the global coffee market, its focus on quality, sustainability, and strategic partnerships will be key to securing its position as a leading coffee exporter.
